Macro Indicators of Crime Rates in Central Java Province

Authors

  • Annisa Eka Zakiyah Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
  • Rifki Khoirudin Universitas Ahmad Dahlan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59141/jrssem.v5i11.1533

Keywords:

Crime, Macroeconomics, Data Panel

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of the Human Development Index (HDI), population, Open Unemployment Rate (OUR), and economic growth on the crime rate in Central Java Province from 2018 to 2024. This study uses a quantitative method with a panel data regression approach that combines time series and cross-sectional data from districts and cities in Central Java Province. The analytical model used is the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The data used are secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik/BPS). The results of the study show that the Human Development Index (HDI), population size, and the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) have a positive and significant effect on the crime rate in Central Java Province. Meanwhile, economic growth has a positive but insignificant effect on the crime rate. Increases in HDI, population, and the open unemployment rate tend to be followed by a rise in crime due to socio-economic pressures, urbanisation, population density, and the weakening of social control in society. On the other hand, economic growth has not been able to fully reduce crime because the benefits of economic development have not been distributed equally across the community. Thus, it is necessary to distribute development more equitably, expand employment opportunities, and strengthen social supervision in order to reduce the crime rate in Central Java Province.

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Published

2026-06-22

How to Cite

Zakiyah, A. E., & Khoirudin, R. (2026). Macro Indicators of Crime Rates in Central Java Province. Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management, 5(11), 12612–12626. https://doi.org/10.59141/jrssem.v5i11.1533

Issue

Vol. 5 No. 11 (2026): Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management

Section

Articles

License

Copyright (c) 2026 Annisa Eka Zakiyah, Rifki Khoirudin

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